@PM2Ring Some users follow links here and not realize that they've been directed to a different site.

@SonictheAnonymousHedgehog I guess that's fair enough.

medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.01.20050542v1.full.pdf

> Approximately 10 million presumed symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 patients across the US during the week starting on March 15, 2020

> The early epidemic in the US was unlikely to be doubling slower than every three days.

If true, I guess this means that herd immunity will be more of a factor than anticipated.

or the black death scenario could play out, where unhandled corpses became big vectors for more infections

@M.A.R. Are you pinging a different Rob?, I think your post is helpful - and received no ping, having not participated in the Q&A until a moment ago. If you want @RC you'll need to ping correctly.

@Feeds Much like Fortnite.

@bjb568 Sanity check on that number: if there were 10 million symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 cases in the US during the week of March 15, then we'd expect to see a minimum of 200,000 deaths by April 7. Actual death toll as of April 7 was 12,000. Something doesn't add up here.

And, I found a mistake in the paper that completely invalidates it. From page 3: "changing patient behaviors causing higher rates of presentation for typical seasonal ILI could confound our estimates". In short, the paper's results are only valid if people with flu-like symptoms go to the doctor at the same rate both before and after the arrival of COVID-19.

Ah, I see.

@Mark It was last at 5.4% so for 10M the number would be 540K. CDC reports 395K, and World-o-meter says it's 435K; there's only 1.5M worldwide. A different report suggests half that number might be possible by month's end, worldwide.

Also, that website has a disclaimer that articles published there have not been subjected to peer review.

@bjb568 There was also a preliminary antibody study that says only around 60% of people who got it with symptoms develop suitable antibodies

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@Rob The Columbia Rob

I thought three characters ping, just like in chat?

@M.A.R. You need the Conchita:

@πάνταῥεῖ needs one moar / cc @son @sha @glo

the doggy ate it

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@rene nah, Sonic isn't my son ;)

Sounds like @Shoshana

> youtube.com/watch?v=BR2JtsVumFA

@djsmiley2kStaysInside got a link?

@ArtOfCode errrr I think so somewhere

hmmmmmm I didn't bookmark it

it's in wayback machjine anyway

yeah but wayback machine search is terrible unless you have the exact URL

I can't find it

@Feeds Seven blazing hells

^ Don't flag that

🚽

What the..

well, that is an interesting ending of the Thanks section ...

I see Shog9 has left a position of community moderator! Who is now left to pretend any bug is a feature and answer corresponding reports?

looking at your recent messages, I see the same names I remember from 2014

много ли поменялось с тех пор

@nicael Shog was fired from his position at SE.

@πάνταῥεῖ but, undefined is not a function!

→ 1 message moved to Trashcan

let's not take it to that level please.

^

@rene Whatever level it takes, this isn't the place to discuss it.

Only SE would claim they've got something, that all the big names can't get right

including facebook, microsoft, twitter, instagram, etc

Cute!

@πάνταῥεῖ the ones we have left are competant. Just overworked

This particular monkey now has its own babies

Quantity has a quality all on its own. And sometimes folks don't realise both is good ;)

@πάνταῥεῖ sigh

CMs. Also personal attacks, not cool

Well OK, what I didn't seem to get from the blog was how many comments were going to be flagged in a certain time period

I'd try to be optimistic, but I have my suspicions that this "data team" comfortably threw complaints about SE Inc.'s behavior in a huge "other" category

Ugh

I can't seem to stop my mouse wheel from jumping while scrolling

Apparently a known issue, but my mouse is clean and new, I changed the ports, reinstalled the driver

@Rob I'd make a dirty joke but this is a public chat

@M.A.R. You think your wheel is bad ...

Good news! appears I have enough rep to edit this

@rene ...three people who no longer work there?

@Mithical yep

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